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Uraniums Are Scheduled to Outpace Oils

Bob Hoye
October 7, 2007

Uranium stocks have a tendency to consolidate after nineteen to twenty-one weeks of selling pressure. For most uraniums the August 16th panic low came within that time window. The majority of the lower priced issue have rallied by 40% to 60% from the closing low, but found resistance around their 50 and 200 day moving averages (and still well below the April and July highs).

History shows that the panic lows are usually tested seven to nine weeks later, providing a targeted time window from now through October 19th. The strongest equities in the sector should establish a ‘bullish step-up’ or divergence in the volume and relative strength oscillators.

Such a test would also coincide nicely with the standard seasonal characteristics. Over the years we’ve outlined it as follows: “Using Cameco (CCJ, CCO.TO) data from 1991 compared to the XOI index it is readily apparent that the ratio finds a low in the last two weeks of September through the first ten days of October. From there Cameco outpaces on the upside for the next twelve to sixteen weeks.” In most years the rally extended well into the first quarter of the following year.



Bob Hoye
October 7, 2007
INSTITUTIONAL ADVISORS

EMAIL:: bobhoye@institutionaladvisors.com
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