WEDNESDAY EDITION

May 16th, 2012

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editorials

 
What Lies Ahead for Junior E&Ps
The Energy Report  May 17  

How You Can Profit From the Market’s Next Big Collapse
Marin Katusa  May 13  

Casey Research Summit Special Report Part II: Drilling Down into Oil & Gas Prices
The Energy Report  May 12  

Novus Energy finds 100% drilling success in Saskatchewan
Joel Chury  May 10  

Small Uranium Equities Tempt Major Players
The Energy Report  May 10  

»» more editorials in the archives

market data


Ux U3O8 Price (Uranium)May 14th, 2012
$52.00 Unch www.uxc.com

»View Commitment of Traders.

expert analysis & newsletter briefs

U3O8 Corp.

"We are initiating formal coverage of U3O8 Corp. with a Buy rating. . .we are excited about the upside potential offered by the Berlin project. The resource has just started growing and we see the potential to perhaps double the resource this year and ultimately triple it the year after, as the resource only covers the southernmost 3km of a known 10.5-km-long sandstone trend (misconception: this is not a black shale deposit); its polymetallic nature provides potential economic benefits as well." (5/14/12) - David Talbot, Dundee Securities

TransGlobe Energy Corp.

"We are initiating coverage of TransGlobe Energy Corp. with a Buy rating and a CA$17.50 target price. . .Management has done a good job of growing production in Egypt from approximately 3 Mbbl/d gross to the current 16.4 Mbbl/d. . .we expect management to apply the techniques successfully employed at West Gharib to the recently acquired West Bakr field, which, coupled with continued development at West Gharib and concurrent exploration efforts, should fuel substantial production and reserve growth in the years ahead." (5/14/12) - Wael Halaoui, TD Securities

Equal Energy Ltd.

"Equal Energy Ltd. reported Q1/12 production of 10,383 boe/d (51% oil and liquids), which beat our estimate of 9,920 boe/d (52% oil and liquids). . .overall, we are pleased with the results as operations are on track. . .given the company has just announced a strategic review process, the next catalysts for Equal Energy include further asset rationalization (we are of the view that the Viking and Cardium assets in Canada are the most attractive) as well as results from its Mississippian joint venture in Oklahoma. . .we maintain our Buy–Above-average Risk rating." (5/11/12) - Tim Murray, Desjardins Securities

Talison Lithium Ltd.

"As the only pure-play lithium producer, Talison Lithium Ltd. provides investors with exposure to the fast-growing lithium battery, electric vehicle and Chinese markets. The company is well-positioned to react to increases in demand with highly scalable operations, low-cost production and expansions, a pipeline of development projects and a 25+ year sales network history. . .A phase 2 expansion is ongoing that will more than double production capacity. . .Talison remains on track to sell ~357 Kt of concentrate and realize ~$AU32M in EBITDA for FY12. . .we are maintaining our Top Pick rating." (5/11/12) - Edward Otto, Cormark Securities

Aroway Energy Inc.

"Aroway Energy Inc. has been a real success this last year. . .the company is currently producing 650 boepd oil. . .oil production has increased by 25% since December; the implied value of 650 boe production is $85K/bbl. So the company probably should be worth about $1/share today and production is increasing rapidly; if you like oil in a safe country, Aroway is a cheap way to buy good management." (5/10/12) - Bob Moriarty, 321gold


featured companies

Aroway Energy Inc. (TSX-V:ARW)
Canadian junior oil and gas exploration, acquisition and production company
[news ][website ]

Blackdog Resources (V.DOG)
An Evolving Junior Oil and Gas Company
[news ][website ]

CBM Asia (TSX-V:TCF)
Exploration and development of coal bed methane in Indonesia
[news ][website ]

Energy XXI (NASDAQ: EXXI)
Oil-focused Production, High-impact Exploration
[news ][website ]

Fission Energy (TSX.V:FIS)
High Grade Uranium Discovery
[news ][website ]

Mesa Exploration (TSX-V:MSA)
High Potential of Green Energy Lithium
[news ][website ]

Passport Potash (TSX-V:PPI)
Leading US Potash Exploration
[news ][website ]

Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A, NYSE: RDS.B)
More upstream and profitable downstream
[news ][website ]

The Energy Report ()
Investment ideas for saavy investors
[news ][website ]

Western Lithium (TSX: WLC, OTCQX: WLCDF)
Get Plugged In.
[news ][website ]


from the publisher
  Robert J. Moriarty

Welcome to 321energy.



U.S. Natural Gas Royalty Trusts


Energy Investment Research by Kurt Wulff
March 8th, 2005

New High for Six-Year Oil

Summary and Recommendation

Average oil price for the next six years as quoted in the futures market hit a new high above $44 a barrel while shorter term price has not hit a new high. A new high for the market value of roughly equal holdings in seven stocks matches the trend in six-year oil while six-year natural gas lags. We think there is money to be made for investors with a longer time horizon than short-term oil quotes and short-term natural gas quotes. Mostly concentrated on long-term natural gas, the U.S. Royalty Trusts in our coverage continue to offer a distribution yield for the next twelve months near 8% (see table The Account). Values are reasonable in the McDep framework that relates to present value calculated on a long-term real oil price of $40 a barrel for Light, Sweet Crude.

The Account
U.S. Natural Gas and Oil Royalty Trusts

Next
Price Twelve NTM
($/un) Market Months Distrib.
Symbol 24-Feb Value Distrib. Yield
2005 Units ($) ($/un) (%/yr)
Cross Timbers Royalty Trust CRT 44.88 400 17,952 2.89 6.4
Dorchester Minerals, L.P. DMLP 22.50 700 15,750 2.01 8.9
Hugoton Royalty Trust HGT 30.05 500 15,025 2.20 7.3
Mesa RoyaltyTrust MTR 63.80 200 12,760 5.28 8.3
Permian Basin Royalty Trust PBT 14.74 1,200 17,688 1.16 7.8
Sabine Royalty Trust SBR 39.70 400 15,880 3.35 8.4
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust SJT 35.71 500 17,855 2.67 7.5
Total 112,910 7.8
Futures Strip
12 Month - Oil ($/bbl) 50.43
12 Month - Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) 6.96
72 Month - Oil ($/bbl) 44.11
72 Month - Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) 6.11


McDep Energy Investment Research by Kurt Wulff
visit: http://www.mcdep.com/

Kurt Wulff was named to the Institutional Investor All-America Research Team 25 times in oil, exploration and natural gas. Also featured in Barron’s and Oil and Gas Investor, he has been a guest on Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN and Wall Street Week with Louis Rukeyser. Mr. Wulff wrote with Bill Bruns, How to Profit from the Coming Oil Crisis, a book published by Bertelsmann three years before Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait. He is a past president of the National Association of Petroleum Investment Analysts. A Chartered Financial Analyst, Mr. Wulff belongs to the CFA Institute, the Petroleum Analysts of Boston, the Oil Analyst Group of New York, and the Boston Security Analysts Society. In his long career, he has also worked for Exxon, Chevron, and as a consultant for the governments of Alaska, Algeria, and the U.S. Born in Wisconsin, he earned degrees of Bachelor of Science in Chemical Engineering from the University of Wisconsin and Master in Business Administration from Harvard University.



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WEDNESDAY EDITION

May 16th, 2012

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